The rise of the ‘scenario’ as a popular method for forecasting dystopian futures

The New Yorker essay explores the growing popularity of scenario planning. Scenarios are used to imagine possible dystopian futures. The piece traces the method’s origins in strategic forecasting. It highlights how writers and analysts craft detailed narrative sketches. Scenarios help policymakers consider extreme outcomes and prepare responses. Critics argue the approach can amplify pessimism and speculation. The essay discusses recent high‑profile scenario projects in tech and climate. Readers are invited to reflect on the influence of imagined futures on real decisions.